It’s common knowledge now that benchmark Indian & US (S&P 500) indices are down by 16% & 21% respectively with some stocks down by more than 50%. The sharp uptick in yields caused the mark to market losses in long-term debt instruments. There is a lot of chaos recently after Russia’s attack on Ukraine and the market seems directionless & confused on the way forward. In this piece, we are trying to understand what the…
When the booze is overflowing non-stop in a party riding on high octane, very few drinkers really think about the consequent hangover when the party stops. In such a high adrenaline atmosphere, many grossly overestimate their capacity to drink, encouraged by behaviour of their friends & crowd around them. The world markets are going through a similar party. The booze (easy money) is supplied by central bankers all over the world in high quantity and…
Sentiments of greed, fear, and confusion are transient in the equity market. The sentiment cycles are permanent. Most of us have come across the following chart of the sentiment cycle. For those who are uninitiated, the below chart represents the cycle of greed and fear in any asset class with varying degrees of emotions. Sentiment cycles move from one extreme of greed to another extreme of fear which takes valuations also to extremes from their…